What are we still missing in catastrophe modelling and how can we close the gap?
As part of InsTech’s The Future of Catastrophe Risk: Where Science Meets Reality event, this expert panel explored the limitations of current catastrophe models and how the insurance industry can evolve its approach to risk.
Hosted by Ludovico Nicotina (Inigo), with insights from Sandra Hansen (Guy Carpenter) and Paul Wilson (Twelve Securis), the discussion focused on where models fall short, how emerging risks are challenging traditional assumptions and what it will take to build more resilient, climate-aware modelling frameworks.
In this conversation, the panel explores:
- What current models overlook — from unmodelled sub-perils to social and infrastructure vulnerabilities
- How inter-annual clustering and systemic effects drive outsized losses
- The tension between increasing model flexibility and responsible use of adaptation features
- Whether vendors are providing enough transparency to support custom views of risk
- How the industry can better incorporate future climate states into today’s modelling tools
- The case for cross-sector collaboration and more open sharing of internal risk perspectives
This is essential listening for exposure managers, underwriters, brokers and risk leaders looking to challenge conventional thinking and prepare for what’s next.
